Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if reported global crypto money-laundering activities, as published by a reputable source like Chainalysis, exceed $90 billion for the year 2026. Verification needs to be from data or reports released within the first quarter of 2027. The estimation must come from recognized blockchain analysis firms or credible financial institutions.
This market resolves to Yes if the CAPA Asia Aviation Summit & Awards for Excellence introduces a new sustainability initiative during its event in 2026 or any related announcements up to March 2027. The initiative must be officially confirmed by the summit organizers or reported in credible aviation publications such as Aviation Week or similar.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. GDP growth rate for the year 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, exceeds 3.0%. The resolution will occur following the official release of the 2026 annual GDP report, typically published in Q1 of the following year. Data from other sources will not be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if official scientific reports confirm that the Greenland Ice Sheet has contributed more than 1mm to global sea-level rise in the calendar year of 2026. The resolution will be based on peer-reviewed studies or reports from recognized scientific organizations, such as the IPCC or NASA, released by March 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if, by March 31, 2027, a peer-reviewed scientific study confirms that energy in turbulence can transfer from small to large scales (backward energy cascade), reversing the traditional forward cascade model, as demonstrated by computer simulations at KTH Royal Institute of Technology. Confirmation must be published in a reputable scientific journal.
This market resolves to Yes if NMDC, India's largest iron ore producer, produces over 55 million tonnes of iron ore during the fiscal year 2026-2027, as officially reported by NMDC or verified national statistics agencies.
This market resolves to Yes if the global recorded music revenue, as reported by MIDiA Research or other authoritative industry sources, exceeds $42 billion for the year 2026. This will take into account revenue from streaming, merchandise, live performances, and branding rights.
This market resolves to Yes if there is credible evidence by April 2027 that the expansion of Cardinal Health's Actinium-225 (Ac-225) production has successfully eased supply constraints for targeted alpha therapies. Confirmation can come from industry reports, announcements from Cardinal Health, or independent healthcare analyses indicating a reduction in supply issues.
Automated predictive market for Culture sector.
This market resolves to Yes if the CDC's official report indicates that the US infant mortality rate for 2026 is below 5.0 per 1,000 live births.
This market resolves to Yes if the Detroit Red Wings qualify for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The decision will be based on the official NHL playoff standings at the end of the 2026-2027 regular season.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.
This market resolves to Yes if at least one far-right candidate advances to the second round of the French presidential election in 2027. A far-right candidate is defined as any candidate representing a party commonly classified as far-right by mainstream political analysts, such as the National Rally (Rassemblement National) in France.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
This market resolves to Yes if, by May 31, 2027, a scientific body or research group publicly announces with evidence that a pulsar has been confirmed near the supermassive black hole at the center of the Milky Way. The confirmation must be published in a reputable scientific journal or announced by a leading scientific body involved in the Breakthrough Listen Galactic Center Survey.
This market resolves to Yes if a general election is officially held in the United Kingdom before June 1, 2027. The resolution is based on an official announcement by the UK government or electoral commission confirming the general election date within this timeframe.
Automated predictive market for Science sector.
This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement or confirmation is made that a direct transport link, such as a shuttle or automated people mover, is operational between the Inglewood Metro station and SoFi Stadium on or before June 30, 2027. The confirmation must come from a reliable source such as the Los Angeles Metro, City of Los Angeles, or SoFi Stadium management.
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon successfully deploys its next-generation warehouse robot in any of its European fulfillment centers by June 30, 2027. The resolution will be based on official announcements from Amazon or credible news sources confirming the deployment.
This market resolves to Yes if a major health institution (such as the CDC, WHO, or equivalent) publicly recommends routine blood tests specifically for early cancer detection by June 30, 2027. Recommendations from smaller organizations or non-official statements will not be considered.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if any NBA team secures the No. 1 overall pick in consecutive draft years (2026 and 2027), which is restricted under the new anti-tanking rules. The market resolves to 'No' if no team secures back-to-back No. 1 overall picks by the end of the 2027 NBA Draft.