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Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.
Automated predictive market for Culture sector.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
This market resolves to Yes if scientific reports published by a credible institution (such as NASA, the National Snow and Ice Data Center, or a peer-reviewed scientific journal) confirm that Jakobshavn Glacier has reached a critical tipping point by December 31, 2027. The tipping point is defined as a significant and sustained acceleration in the glacier's melt rate leading to irreversible retreat.
Will Saudi Arabia announce the new dates for the 2029 Asian Winter Games in NEOM by the end of 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if the Saudi Olympic Committee or the Olympic Council of Asia publicly announces new official dates for the postponed 2029 Asian Winter Games at NEOM by December 31, 2027. Any tentative or unofficial statements will not count. The announcement must be verifiable through official sources such as press releases or major reputable news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if the Mexican government officially declares the site of the recently discovered 1,400-year-old Zapotec tomb in San Pablo Huitzo, Oaxaca, as a new cultural heritage site by December 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if Japan starts commercial-scale ocean-floor mining operations by December 31, 2027. Verification will be based on official announcements from the Japanese government or credible industry sources confirming the commencement of commercial mining activities.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approves a new therapy for pancreatic cancer, specifically one targeting the mutated gene responsible for 90% of cases, by December 31, 2027. The therapy must be based on the recent breakthrough described in news where mice trials showed significant tumor regression without side effects.
This market resolves to Yes if the True/False Film Fest, held in Columbia, Missouri, announces the introduction of more than 5 new categories for documentaries or film screenings by December 31, 2027. This includes any newly created sections or thematic focuses distinct from existing categories as of March 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement about the next-gen Xbox console is made by either AMD or Microsoft by December 31, 2027. The announcement must be confirmed through a press release, official company statement, or coverage by a credible media source.
This market resolves to Yes if Stellantis launches an electric vehicle in any European market incorporating Chinese EV technology by December 31, 2027. The vehicle must be publicly advertised and available for sale within this timeframe.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, Nvidia publicly reports that it has reached $1 trillion in sales from its Blackwell and Rubin chip products. Official sales reports, press releases, or formal announcements from Nvidia will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if Japan officially begins its first commercial operation to mine the ocean seabed for minerals by December 31, 2027. The resolution will be based on verifiable reports from credible news sources confirming the commencement of commercial mining activities on or before this date.
Will Hyundai's $6 billion investment in a Korean tech hub be fully operational by December 31, 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if Hyundai's new technology hub in Korea, announced as a $6 billion investment in robotics, AI, and data, is reported as fully operational by a reputable business news source by December 31, 2027. 'Fully operational' means the hub must be actively functioning with substantial capacity in all its planned sectors.
This market resolves to Yes if Nvidia announces through an official statement, financial report, or press release that it has sold $1 trillion worth of its Blackwell and Rubin chips by December 31, 2027. The announcement must be publicly verifiable.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, a commercially available solar cell uses the electron 'catapult' mechanism demonstrated by physicists for charge transfer. The resolution will be based on announcements from solar cell manufacturers or verified reports in reputable scientific or technology news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if Arm Holdings' new in-house AI chip generates at least $15 billion in revenue annually by December 31, 2027, as verified by the company's official financial statements or credible third-party financial analysis.
This market resolves to Yes if Nvidia's cumulative sales of Blackwell and Rubin chips reach at least $1 trillion by December 31, 2027. Sales figures will be verified through Nvidia's public financial disclosures and reports.
This market resolves to Yes if there is a published scientific study or official report by a recognized organization confirming that the integration of space-based observations of vegetation and soil moisture has led to improved air quality forecasts specifically in agricultural regions by December 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if Huawei's new AI chip is reported by a reputable source to capture over 25% of NVIDIA's AI chip market share in China by December 31, 2027. The determination will be based on market analysis reports from tech industry watchers such as IDC, Gartner, or similar sources.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2027, a major global health organization such as the World Health Organization (WHO) or the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) officially adopts a new international healthcare data language that facilitates data sharing across borders, as discussed by Dr. Hannah Galvin and the Shift Collective. The resolution will be based on formal announcements from the mentioned organizations.