Markets

Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.

This market resolves to Yes if an artist is awarded the Grammy for the newly introduced 'Asian Pop' category at the 2027 Grammy Awards. The Grammy Awards are expected to take place in early 2027, and the winners will be announced during the ceremony.

75% chance

This market resolves to Yes if GM publicly reports that its losses from the electric vehicle division are reduced by over $1 billion during the fiscal year 2026, compared to its losses in 2025. Official corporate financial statements and press releases will be used to resolve this market.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon reports higher quarterly revenue than Walmart for every quarter in 2026. The comparison will be based on officially published earnings reports from both Amazon and Walmart.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if official data released by the recording industry association in early 2027 confirms that vinyl record sales in 2026 exceeded one billion dollars.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Vinfast publicly reports achieving at least a 20% increase in global electric scooter sales for the fiscal year 2026, compared to the previous year. Verification will be based on official company financial reports or credible financial news sources.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the allocation for the Department of Space in the Indian Union Budget for 2027-28 exceeds Rs 15,000 crore. The resolution will be based on announcements made during the official budget presentation or official government reports detailing the budget allocations for the Department of Space.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Netflix releases Greta Gerwig's 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' in theaters globally by February 2027, as announced by AMC CEO during a call with analysts.

Ends Feb 1, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if Greta Gerwig's film 'Narnia: The Magician's Nephew' is released in theaters worldwide by February 2027, as announced by Netflix and AMC.

75% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Kenneth Walker III is officially named to the NFL All-Pro First Team for the 2026 season, as announced by the Associated Press or other widely recognized authority. The outcome will be verified by the official NFL listings and credible sports news sources.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Chevrolet's official 250th anniversary campaign includes a commercial aired during the Super Bowl scheduled for February 7, 2027. Any official announcement by Chevrolet or confirmation from the NFL that Chevy will broadcast a campaign-related ad during the Super Bowl constitutes a Yes resolution. If no such ad is aired or officially confirmed, the market resolves to No.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Kenneth Walker III is awarded the NFL Offensive Player of the Year for the 2026 season, as announced by the Associated Press. The award is usually given in early February following the conclusion of the NFL regular season and playoffs.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if any American athlete who participated in the 2026 Winter Olympics goes on to break a world record related to their post-Olympic employment or career within a year after the Olympics ends (by February 28, 2027). This can include records in sectors such as endorsements, public appearances, or social media influence directly tied to their newfound Olympic fame.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund, managed by Norges Bank Investment Management, reports an annual return exceeding $1.5 billion for the year 2026, as officially announced in their annual financial report.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the NFL, in partnership with the US State Department, officially hosts a Super Bowl watch party at a US embassy in a foreign country by the end of February 2027. Verification will be based on public announcements by the NFL or the US Department of State.

50% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Eurozone's gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the year 2026, as reported by Eurostat, exceeds 1.0%. The closing date will be adjusted based on the release of the official annual GDP growth report by Eurostat, expected in early 2027.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Science sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if any major US health system publicly announces official integration or collaboration with Oura smart rings for patient monitoring or data integration by March 31, 2027.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if official scientific reports confirm that the Greenland Ice Sheet has contributed more than 1mm to global sea-level rise in the calendar year of 2026. The resolution will be based on peer-reviewed studies or reports from recognized scientific organizations, such as the IPCC or NASA, released by March 2027.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. GDP growth rate for the year 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, exceeds 3.0%. The resolution will occur following the official release of the 2026 annual GDP report, typically published in Q1 of the following year. Data from other sources will not be used for resolution.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the CAPA Asia Aviation Summit & Awards for Excellence introduces a new sustainability initiative during its event in 2026 or any related announcements up to March 2027. The initiative must be officially confirmed by the summit organizers or reported in credible aviation publications such as Aviation Week or similar.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if official reports or ratings data indicate an increase in viewership for Southern Conference men's basketball games broadcast on CBS Sports Network during the 2026-27 season compared to the 2025-26 season.

70% chance