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DebatesMarketsPortfolioIdeasShop

Markets

Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.

Will the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire hold without major violations until July 10, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if there are no officially confirmed major violations of the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah from the start of the ceasefire at 4 PM local time on June 19, 2026, until July 10, 2026. A major violation is defined as an exchange of fire resulting in casualties reported by major international news outlets.

55% chance
Soccer

Spain vs Belgium

Jul 10 @ 10:30 PM

FIFA World Cup 2026 — Quarterfinals. Who advances? Settles on the team that progresses (after extra time or penalties).

Ends Jul 10

Will Taylor Swift marry Travis Kelce by July 10, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are confirmed to have legally married by July 10, 2026, as reported by credible news outlets (e.g., Fox News, CNN, etc.). If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.

75% chance

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding take place at Madison Square Garden on July 10, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding is officially confirmed to have taken place at Madison Square Garden (MSG) on July 10, 2026. Official confirmation can come from credible news outlets, statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, or their representatives. Speculation or unconfirmed reports will not count. If the wedding date or venue is moved or changed before the resolution date, the market resolves to No.

72% chance

Will the WHO declare the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak contained by July 10, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak contained by July 10, 2026. Containment is typically defined as no new cases reported and the situation under control according to WHO standards.

40% chance

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce host their wedding at Madison Square Garden on July 10, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding ceremony is publicly reported to have occurred at Madison Square Garden on July 10, 2026. Public reporting includes coverage by credible outlets such as CNN, USA Today, or similar. If the location or date changes, the market resolves to No. Unverified reports or rumors will not determine the resolution.

75% chance

Will the Venezuela earthquake death toll exceed 2,000 by July 10, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the official death toll from the June 2026 Venezuela earthquakes, as reported by reliable sources (e.g., Venezuelan government, UN agencies, or major international media like AP, Reuters, or CNN), exceeds 2,000 by July 10, 2026. If the death toll is reported as 2,000 or fewer by this date, the market resolves to No.

72% chance

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Milwaukee Brewers (56-33) at Pittsburgh Pirates (46-45) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T22:40:00.000Z [MLBGame:823357]

VS
41% chance

Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Philadelphia Phillies (50-41) at Detroit Tigers (40-50) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T22:40:00.000Z [MLBGame:824252]

VS
43% chance

Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - New York Yankees (50-40) at Washington Nationals (47-45) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T22:45:00.000Z [MLBGame:822709]

VS
55% chance

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Kansas City Royals (37-54) at Baltimore Orioles (42-49) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T23:05:00.000Z [MLBGame:824817]

VS
59% chance

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Seattle Mariners (47-44) at Tampa Bay Rays (52-36) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T23:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:822955]

VS
67% chance

Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Cleveland Guardians (47-44) at Miami Marlins (49-42) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T23:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:823845]

VS
61% chance

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Chicago Cubs (50-40) at Cincinnati Reds (41-48) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T23:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:824493]

VS
50% chance

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Boston Red Sox (40-48) at New York Mets (38-53) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T23:15:00.000Z [MLBGame:823604]

VS
55% chance

Chicago White Sox vs Oakland Athletics (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Oakland Athletics (41-49) at Chicago White Sox (47-42) First Pitch: 2026-07-10T23:40:00.000Z [MLBGame:824575]

VS
50% chance

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Houston Astros (45-48) at Texas Rangers (45-45) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T00:05:00.000Z [MLBGame:822878]

VS
56% chance

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Los Angeles Angels (36-55) at Minnesota Twins (44-47) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T00:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:823685]

VS
64% chance

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Atlanta Braves (52-37) at St. Louis Cardinals (47-41) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T00:15:00.000Z [MLBGame:823033]

VS
48% chance

San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Toronto Blue Jays (42-49) at San Diego Padres (44-46) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T01:40:00.000Z [MLBGame:823278]

VS
62% chance

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks (45-45) at Los Angeles Dodgers (60-32) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T02:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:823927]

VS
73% chance

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies (Jul 10)

HA

MLB - Colorado Rockies (37-55) at San Francisco Giants (38-52) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T02:15:00.000Z [MLBGame:823200]

VS
61% chance

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels (Jul 11)

HA

MLB - Los Angeles Angels (37-56) at Minnesota Twins (46-48) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T18:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:823682]

VS
53% chance

Chicago White Sox vs Oakland Athletics (Jul 11)

HA

MLB - Oakland Athletics (41-46) at Chicago White Sox (45-41) First Pitch: 2026-07-11T18:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:824576]

VS
62% chance
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