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I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.
Will the 'Secure Water Arizona Program' be officially implemented by December 31, 2026?
30 contracts (49¢)
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox (Jul 10)
the mets have been falling off lately, not sure why their odds are so high for this game against the red sox, feels kinda off.
Did Justin Bieber outshine the World Cup itself?
Bieber's halftime performance boosted the event by attracting a wider audience, especially for those who might not usually tune in for soccer. His star power brought extra attention to the World Cup, enhancing its global reach. Additionally, the electrifying performance created a memorable moment that fans will talk about for years. This kind of entertainment can help grow the sport by introducing new fans to soccer's excitement.
Will CoreWeave face new allegations of securities fraud after April 1, 2026?
The odds are way too low on this. CoreWeave's past issues suggest they are likely to face scrutiny again, especially with how the SEC has been cracking down lately.
Will the EU impose additional regulatory penalties on Apple under the Digital Markets Act by August 31, 2026?
100 contracts (50¢)
Should Amazon's $25 Billion Bond Sale Be Criticized?
Amazon's decision to raise $25 billion through a bond sale reflects irresponsible corporate behavior, as it signals a troubling reliance on debt rather than pursuing sustainable growth methods.
Should Amazon's $25 Billion Bond Sale Be Criticized?
issuing $25 billion in bonds is super risky since it adds massive debt, which could backfire if interest rates rise or sales drop, putting them in a tough spot.
Will the FDA approve a new drug as part of its initiative to boost domestic clinical trials by August 31, 2026?
honestly, i don't see how they can approve a new drug that quickly, given how long these trials usually take. feels like this market is way too optimistic.
Will the U.S. Congress pass a new digital assets regulation bill by July 31, 2026?
tbh, i can't see congress getting their act together that fast. they still can't figure out basic stuff, so i'm not holding my breath on this one.
Should countries prioritize AI sovereignty over global collaboration?
While the drive for AI sovereignty is understandable, especially in terms of national security and data control, prioritizing an open approach to AI development is ultimately more beneficial for all nations involved. With twelve nations already investing hundreds of billions into their own sovereign AI models as of July 2025, it is clear that this trend could lead to fragmented technology, stifling innovation and collaboration. A 2025 survey highlighted that 93% of leaders believe global collaboration is essential for building secure and sovereign AI systems; this points to a significant realization that not all advancements need to be locked behind national borders. Open-source methods have shown that they can foster rapid advancements in technology while ensuring safety and robustness. Despite the fear of losing competitive edge, collaboration can enhance security measures and promote shared standards that benefit everyone. Fostering an open AI ecosystem might seem risky, but it actually promotes more resilient systems and encourages diverse contributions, ultimately leading to better outcomes for society as a whole. The goals of sovereignty and collaboration are not mutually exclusive; rather, they should complement each other to create a more innovative and secure future.
Will a larger prototype of a quantum battery that charges in under a minute be publicly demonstrated by August 1, 2026?
90 contracts (63¢)
Will the UK government officially endorse the new banking app-based digital ID system by July 31, 2026?
not sure about this one. the whole digital ID thing feels sketchy, right? like, how are we supposed to trust this when there's so much talk about security and privacy? i mean, the price feels way too optimistic for something that's not even got full support from the public. seems like half the country is against it. kinda leaning towards no on this one.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel by August 1, 2026?
150 contracts (48¢)
Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high of $69,000 or above by August 31, 2026?
538 contracts (48¢)
Will Aroldis Chapman record at least 10 strikeouts across relief appearances from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
700 contracts (52¢)
Log in to share an idea or like posts.
I really like the new update with payouts, being able to bet more and make more adds a lot to the experience.
If a sudden rise in robotics occurs then no one is stopping NVDA from being the real Arasaka.
there is a bug. Upon placing a bet, you are given the amount of profit you will earn. However, upon making the purchase, the summary page seems to display that your profit is cut in half. though i understand this is due to the price height per stock when bought, this can become bad if unadressed
I should've had around 125k sense by now but since the debates and Markets keep not working I haven't gotten it. I would've gotten 66k from a debate that should've properly closed yesterday at 5 am, and instead it didn't close, got pushed to a week from then, and I lost all my money, it was reinstated and then markets were affected too where after the games had ended, the payouts never came, and then last night I put 20k into a debate that was supposed to end this morning just for it to also get pushed back by a week. #iNeedMy125kSense
Bitcoin prices going up means something is being cooked really crazy in dark market.
Trump going against immigration is crazy. Half of intelligent people in States are Asian. The biggest tech leaders are mostly Indian. NVDA the company which is 15-17% of States GDP runs because of Jensen Huang a Taiwanese-American entrepreneur. 3/4 talent in States is Asian.
Meta hired Alexander Wang one of the biggest superhero of AI industry, still Meta AI sucks so bad. Ray Ban glasses are good but we got a tons of competitors in that industry. I know Deep-Seek is Chinese but is the best in open source models.
Apple integrating Gemini in Apple devices is one of the worst move in Apple's history. I know they want to dominate hardware market rather than software still the decision sucks so bad.
The real housing crisis isn't about interest rates — it's about zoning laws. Every major city artificially restricts supply through single-family zoning. Fix zoning, fix housing.
Prediction markets are the future of news. Why read some pundit's opinion when you can see what people are willing to put money on? Skin in the game > hot takes.
GPT-6 will be the iPhone moment for AI agents. Not because of raw intelligence, but because of reliability. Right now agents fail 30% of the time. Get that to 5% and everything changes.
Unpopular opinion: college degrees will be worth MORE in 10 years, not less. As AI commoditizes basic skills, the network and signaling value of elite schools goes up.
The crypto market is about to have its "dot-com correction" moment. 95% of tokens will go to zero but the 5% that survive will be worth trillions. The hard part is picking which 5%.
Why does every political debate turn into a team sport? You can think border security matters AND that mass deportation is inhumane. Holding two ideas at once isn't weakness, it's intelligence.
Elon buying Twitter was actually bullish for decentralized social media. BlueSky and Mastodon wouldn't exist at their current scale without the X exodus. Competition is good.