Markets

This market resolves to Yes if a new federal regulation concerning name, image, and likeness (NIL) rights is enacted that directly affects existing college football policies by December 31, 2027. The rule must be established at the federal level and have an impact on college football governance or athlete eligibility within the United States.

This market resolves to Yes if BTS's 'ARIRANG' world tour is confirmed to be the highest-grossing K-pop tour on record by December 31, 2027. The confirmation must come from a credible source such as Billboard, Forbes, or a similar reputable music industry publication.

This market resolves to Yes if a peer-reviewed scientific study confirms by December 31, 2027, that liquid crystal monomers (LCMs), found in e-waste, have gene-altering effects on humans. Reports or preliminary results are insufficient; the study must be published in a peer-reviewed journal and directly link LCMs to changes in human gene activity.

This market resolves to Yes if a swarm of drones is publicly confirmed by a recognized space agency or private space exploration company to have been deployed to explore a planetary body (such as a planet, moon, or asteroid) in our solar system by December 31, 2027. The confirmation must come from official sources, such as a press release or statement.

This market resolves to Yes if Lands' End, as part of its joint venture with WHP Global, reports total licensing revenues exceeding $500 million by December 31, 2027. The resolution will be based on official financial statements released by Lands' End or WHP Global.

This market resolves to Yes if a recognized regulatory body or international healthcare organization formally establishes a comprehensive standard for the use of AI in patient-facing clinical applications within behavioral health settings by December 31, 2027. Such a standard must be publicly announced and widely accepted within the healthcare industry.

This market resolves to Yes if official industry reports confirm that PC gaming revenue exceeds console gaming revenue by December 31, 2027. This can be verified through reports from reputable industry analysts and financial data published by entities such as Newzoo, Deloitte, or PricewaterhouseCoopers.

This market resolves to Yes if Codelco's officially reported copper production for 2027 reaches or exceeds 1.37 million tons, as confirmed by an official statement or report from Codelco.

This market resolves to Yes if Conagra successfully completes the $220 million expansion of its Fayetteville Manufacturing Site by March 31, 2028. Completion will be confirmed if Conagra officially announces the completion of the site expansion by this date. The expansion is expected to create more than 100 jobs over the next five years.

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Getty Center in Los Angeles reopens to the public by May 1, 2028, as per official announcements. The Getty Center has planned renovations, aiming to reopen ahead of the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics.

This market resolves to Yes if Major League Baseball (MLB) players participate in the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics, despite potential disruptions from a work stoppage in 2027 as discussed by the new union head. The market will resolve on the opening day of the 2028 Olympics based on official participation announcements.

This market resolves to Yes if the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts officially reopens following its two-year reconstruction project by or before July 31, 2028. Verification will be based on an official announcement or news report confirming the reopening.

This market resolves to Yes if a scientific mission officially reports the successful growth of chickpeas on the lunar surface under controlled experimental conditions by December 31, 2028. The results must be publicly announced by a credible space agency or scientific organization.

This market resolves to Yes if, by the end of 2028, a drug developed using an ultrafast quantum chemistry engine, like EXESS, receives FDA approval. The development must be significantly attributed to this technology, as noted in reputable scientific or industry publications.

This market resolves to Yes if scientific endeavors successfully grow and harvest chickpeas on the Moon using lunar soil simulant by December 31, 2028. Confirmation must come from an official report or statement by a recognized space agency or scientific body.

This market resolves to Yes if definitive data or a major international climate authority confirms that global carbon emissions have peaked and started to decline before January 1, 2029. The data must be widely recognized and reported in respected climate science publications or by organizations like the United Nations or the International Energy Agency.

This market resolves to Yes if any national Olympic committee formally announces its withdrawal from the 2030 Winter Olympics, explicitly citing sportswashing concerns, by December 31, 2028. Official announcements must be verified by reputable sources such as major news outlets or the involved committee's official communications. If no such announcement is made by the deadline, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the African Development Bank's Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa (SEFA) achieves $2.5 billion in financing by December 31, 2028. Confirmation will be based on official announcements or financial reports from the African Development Bank or verified news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if Metro Bank reports a return on tangible equity of at least 18% in its annual financial statements for the year ending 2028. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial reports released by Metro Bank for the fiscal year 2028.

This market resolves to Yes if the European Union's IRIS² secure satellite communication system becomes operational before January 1, 2029. This would be confirmed by a public announcement from the European Union or relevant space authorities. The original timeline for the system's launch was set for 2030, and any earlier launch would indicate an acceleration in the timeline.

This market resolves to Yes if Team GB wins a gold medal in men's curling at the 2030 Winter Olympics. If Team GB does not win the gold medal by the end of the 2030 Winter Olympics, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the average summer temperature in Greenland exceeds 10°C for June through August, as recorded by the Danish Meteorological Institute, by the end of 2030.

This market resolves to Yes if there are credible reports or official data showing that electricity demand from AI-optimized data centers has quadrupled by the year 2030 compared to 2026 levels.

This market resolves to Yes if, according to official reports from the International Olympic Committee or similar authoritative bodies, more than 75% of the potential Winter Olympics host locations identified in a pre-2030 study require machine-made snow to meet the conditions for holding the Games by December 31, 2030.