Markets

This market resolves to Yes if ServiceNow reports an unemployment rate exceeding 30% for college graduates within its industry analysis by December 31, 2026. Any official report, press release, or public statement by ServiceNow would act as the resolution source.

This market resolves to Yes if Pepeto's Cross Chain Bridge achieves a transaction throughput exceeding 100,000 transactions per second (TPS) by December 31, 2026. Verification will be through official announcements from Pepeto or audited performance reports from credible independent sources.

This market resolves to Yes if the SUPPLYCO AI Platform officially announces an integration with QuTwo OS that enables AI workloads across classical, quantum-inspired, and quantum hardware by December 31, 2026. An official announcement must be made by SUPPLYCO AI Platform or QuTwo through company press releases, official blogs, or news coverage.

Will Black Twitter host a virtual awards event by December 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a virtual awards event, specifically branded as a 'Black Twitter' event and reported by major media, takes place by December 31, 2026. The event should aim to celebrate or recognize trends, people, or tweets associated with Black Twitter.

This market resolves to Yes if the immigration overhaul bill introduced by Rep. Andy Ogles, R-Tenn., passes the U.S. House of Representatives before the end of 2026. The bill proposes significant changes to legal immigration, including ending chain migration and eliminating the diversity visa lottery.

Will Bitcoin price exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin's price exceeds $100,000 at any point before or on December 31, 2026, based on verified data from major exchanges like Coinbase or Binance.

This market resolves to Yes if Congress successfully enacts a law specifically aimed at addressing healthcare affordability in the United States by December 31, 2026. The law must be signed by the President and publicly acknowledged to fulfill the criteria of addressing healthcare affordability challenges highlighted in recent surveys.

This market resolves to Yes if Spotify publicly announces that they have reached or surpassed 300 million paid subscribers by December 31, 2026. The count will be based on official announcements or reports from Spotify, credible media outlets, or financial statements.

Will the U.S. unemployment rate for college graduates reach 30% or higher by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases a report indicating that the unemployment rate for college graduates reaches 30% or higher at any point in the calendar year 2026. The data must be published in an official government release to count for resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, scientific consensus, based on published research, confirms clear and measurable signs of collapse in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), as reflected by significant weakening or deflection of the Gulf Stream.

This market resolves to Yes if there are no major disruptions lasting more than a week that prevent oil tankers from navigating through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026. A major disruption is defined as a halt in tanker traffic due to conflict, military intervention, or sanctions fully obstructing passage.

This market resolves to Yes if the Permanent Court of Arbitration rules in favor of Rwanda, awarding them the 100 million pounds from the UK over the scrapped refugee resettlement deal, by December 31, 2026. If the ruling is issued after this date or if the court rules in favor of the UK, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Sutter Health and Allina Health receive regulatory approval to merge into one health system by December 31, 2026. The merger must be confirmed through official announcements by both companies and regulatory bodies involved.

Will a Democratic candidate with a negative stance on Israel win a major primary by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a candidate running in a Democratic primary race for a House, Senate, or gubernatorial seat, who has publicly expressed a negative stance on the U.S.-Israel relationship, secures a win. A 'major primary' is defined as any primary for a state with a minimum of five electoral votes or any sitting Democratic incumbent governor or senator. Public expression of a negative stance must be verifiable through reputable news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if the global box office earnings of 'KPop Demon Hunters' surpass those of 'Frozen 2' ($1.45 billion) by December 31, 2026, according to Box Office Mojo or a similar reputable source.

This market resolves to Yes if Pepeto's cross chain bridge records a daily transaction volume of at least 500,000 transactions on any day before December 31, 2026. The data will be verified through official statements from Pepeto's team or reputable crypto market analytics sources.

This market resolves to Yes if there is a scientifically verified report by the end of 2026 indicating that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has definitively entered a phase of collapse, characterized by a significant and sustained weakening beyond previously recorded fluctuations.

This market resolves to Yes if the current temporary block by the federal judge on changes to the U.S. vaccine recommendations is overturned, allowing for the new recommendations to take effect before the end of 2026. Official government announcements or court documents will be used as sources for resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) successfully recreates the recently discovered doubly charmed baryon before the end of December 2026, as verified by a published report from CERN or a significant peer-reviewed physics journal.

Will XRP reach at least $10 by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $10 on any reputable crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The final price will be considered on a closing basis at the end of the day in Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).

This market resolves to 'Yes' if Greenpeace files for bankruptcy in the United States by December 31, 2026, as a result of the $345 million verdict against them in the Dakota Access Pipeline case. Public court records or official statements from Greenpeace or US bankruptcy courts will be used to determine the outcome.

This market resolves to Yes if Adani Defence and Aerospace, a subsidiary of the Adani Group, officially begins production at its defence manufacturing unit in Shivpuri, Madhya Pradesh, by December 31, 2026. Official confirmation must come from either Adani Group, government reports, or reputable industry publications. The facility includes missile, composite propellant, and TNT manufacturing complexes. Any delays in project completion or lack of operational confirmation by this date will cause the market to resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Equalpride successfully launches a new event series focused on LGBTQ+ culture under the 'Them' brand by December 31, 2026. The event series must be officially announced and publicly accessible. If no such event series is launched by the deadline, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the Pixar movie 'Hoppers' receives a nomination for Best Animated Feature at the 2027 Academy Awards by December 2026. The official list of nominations released by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will be used to determine the outcome.