Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if the European Union reverses the recent rollbacks on sustainability rules, including glacier protection laws and corporate sustainability reporting directives, by December 31, 2026. Official EU legislative actions or resolutions must confirm the reinstatement of these climate regulations.
This market resolves to Yes if the 'End Chain Migration and Diversity Visa Overhaul Act', as introduced by Rep. Andy Ogles, passes a floor vote in the U.S. House of Representatives by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official voting records from the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market resolves to Yes if Meta announces, through official corporate communication or credible media sources, that it has laid off 20% or more of its workforce by December 31, 2026. The reference point will be the workforce size reported as of December 31, 2025. If no such announcement is made by the deadline, this market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. unemployment rate for college graduates reaches or exceeds 30.0% at any point in time by December 31, 2026, according to official statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics or a similarly credible source.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $100,000 on any recognized exchange platform at any point before or on December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC. This market resolves to No if it does not reach $100,000 by that time.
This market resolves to Yes if the Medicare Advantage payment gap, as measured and reported by MedPAC, is reduced to $70 billion or less by December 31, 2026. Sources such as MedPAC reports or credible financial news outlets will be used to verify the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if a DNA origami vaccine is officially granted FDA approval for human use on or before December 31, 2026. Any other outcome, including no approval or usage authorization by the given date, will result in a No resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Canada retains its supply management provisions in the outcome of the CUSMA review process as reported by a credible news source by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if any amendments are made to these provisions by the specified date.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if, according to publicly available information from Intuit or reputable industry reports, more than 50 construction firms adopt Intuit's AI-powered ERP solution specifically tailored for the construction industry by December 31, 2026. The adoption must be verified by official announcements, press releases, or recognized industry reports.
This market resolves to Yes if the AI model developed by Oura for personalized women's health guidance is commercially available for consumer use by December 31, 2026. Availability must be confirmed by a public announcement or verifiable listing as a commercial product.
This market resolves to Yes if a paper explicitly focused on the implementation or analysis of 'peer replication' as a method in scientific research is published in a peer-reviewed journal ranked as a top-tier (top 10%) journal in its respective field by December 31, 2026. Evidence of publication will be verified through reputable databases such as PubMed, Scopus, or Web of Science.
This market resolves to Yes if Monogram Health officially announces the expansion of its in-home care services to at least one new US state by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official Monogram Health communication such as a press release or their official website.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.
This market resolves to Yes if the President of the United States appoints a new Chief Justice of the Supreme Court and the appointment is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2026. Any announcement, nomination without confirmation, or non-confirmed replacement will not count.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple reports sales of more than 2 million units of its new MacBook Neo by December 31, 2026. Official sales figures must be released by Apple through a quarterly financial report or verified official announcement by that date.
This market resolves to Yes if the Bon Jovi biopic produced by Universal Pictures grosses over $500 million worldwide by December 31, 2026. The box office gross will be verified from reputable sources such as Box Office Mojo and The Hollywood Reporter.
This market resolves to Yes if the movie 'Wicked' is ranked as the top movie on the USA TODAY Movie Meter for both 2025 and 2026. Official confirmation from USA TODAY will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle publicly announces further significant workforce reductions (defined as at least 5% of its total workforce) specifically attributed to advancements in AI technologies by December 31, 2026. Official press releases or reputable news sources will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 USD on any reputable exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken exchanges. Should there be any discrepancies, the median price from these exchanges will be used.
This market resolves to Yes if Hims & Hers formally announces the integration of Novo Nordisk's obesity drugs into their telehealth platform with at least one official product or service launch related to the drugs by December 31, 2026. Verification will be done through official press releases from either Hims & Hers or Novo Nordisk.
This market resolves to Yes if the Bon Jovi biopic, produced by Universal Pictures, achieves a worldwide box office gross exceeding $500 million by the end of December 2026. Data from reliable box office tracking sources such as Box Office Mojo or similar will be used to verify the result.
This market resolves to Yes if Kathy Ireland successfully wins a legal judgment in her favor, declaring her victorious in the lawsuit against her former managers regarding the alleged $100 million misappropriation, by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if by that date, no legal victory is reported, or if the lawsuit is dismissed or resolved without a win for Kathy Ireland.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA carries out a successful test of its new lunar mission as part of its moon program by the end of 2026. The resolution of this market will be based on official announcements from NASA confirming the success of the mission test.
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon's healthcare AI tool, offered for free to Prime members, records usage from at least 1 million unique users by December 31, 2026. This will be determined based on official announcements or reports from Amazon regarding user statistics.