Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a U.S.-based company publicly announces the full integration of AI into its workforce strategy, including recruitment, retention, and training, with outlined results demonstrating effectiveness and improved productivity. Official press releases or major news publications will serve as valid sources for verification.
This market resolves to Yes if any major prediction platform (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt) officially announces and implements regulations specifically prohibiting betting on acts of war by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be covered by at least one reputable news source or confirmed by a statement from the platform. The market resolves to No if no such regulations are implemented by the deadline.
This market resolves to Yes if any company or consortium submits a formal takeover offer for PayPal Holdings Inc. that is publicly confirmed by PayPal or widely reported in reputable financial news sources by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if a new official nuclear agreement between Iran and the United States is announced and confirmed by both parties by December 31, 2026. The agreement must be publicly acknowledged by both the US government and the Iranian government.
This market resolves to Yes if Jared Harris's legal action against the AI podcast for using his likeness without permission is settled, either through a court decision or an out-of-court agreement, by December 31, 2026. If no official resolution is publicly announced by this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if a podcast submitted by a student from a university located in the state of California wins the NPR College Podcast Challenge in 2026. The outcome will be determined based on NPR's official announcement of the 2026 winner.
This market resolves to Yes if Silverflow publicly announces a valuation of at least $250 million by December 31, 2026. Verification must come from a credible financial news source or company press release.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the US Congress passes and the President signs into law any new legislative measures explicitly restricting the President's war powers over military operations. The market resolves to No if no such law is enacted by the given date.
This market resolves to Yes if Columbus is officially awarded a National Women's Soccer League (NWSL) expansion franchise by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from NWSL or Haslam Sports Group confirming Columbus as a franchise location will be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a pilot program successfully demonstrates that behavioral health data can securely and effectively flow between providers, vocational programs, and housing authorities in the nine states selected by ASTP/ONC. The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the ASTP or relevant authorities indicating success.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple's new 'citrus' MacBook Neo sells more units than the previous MacBook model by December 31, 2026. The data will be sourced from Apple's official sales reports and other credible publications.
This market resolves to Yes if Russia successfully launches a space mission from the Baikonur Cosmodrome's repaired launch pad by December 31, 2026. A successful launch is defined as a mission that achieves its intended orbit or destination as confirmed by the Russian space agency's official announcement.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, TeraWulf has publicly reported through its official filings or press releases that over 50% of the Bitcoin mined by the company in 2026 is retained as part of its strategic reserves. This must be clearly stated in a verifiable source.
This market resolves to Yes if Kate Middleton makes an official royal appearance wearing traditional Welsh attire by December 31, 2026. An official appearance is defined as one where Kate Middleton, as Princess of Wales, is representing the British Royal Family in an official capacity. Evidence must be from a reputable news source with photographic confirmation.
This market resolves to Yes if TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ: $WULF) continues to follow its announced 'Treasury Holding' strategy for mined Bitcoin—without reverting to a 'mine-and-sell' model—until December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on available company reports or public announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, human brain cells on a chip, similar to those developed by Cortical Labs, can play the game Doom with performance metrics (e.g., completion time, accuracy, strategic decision-making) that are comparable to those of average human gamers, as determined by a verified and publicly available demonstration or study.
This market resolves to Yes if Exxaro Resources Ltd's shareholding in Jupiter Mines Ltd exceeds 20% on or before December 31, 2026, according to official regulatory filings or a credible public announcement. Any acquisition making their share 20.01% or more will be considered an increase. If no such increase is verified by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Manuka Resources officially announces the restart of its silver and gold production operations at any of its facilities by December 31, 2026. Public announcements via press releases or official statements on Manuka Resources' website will be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the government of Maharashtra formally establishes a Directorate of Agricultural Engineering by December 31, 2026. Official announcements or government releases confirming the establishment will be used as sources for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Exxaro Resources Limited increases its ownership stake in the Tshipi é Ntle Manganese Mining joint venture by more than 10% by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from Exxaro or Tshipi é Ntle will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, Singapore enacts legislation or a binding policy that mandates the use of AI tools in all legal proceedings within the country's judicial system. Official confirmation must come from a recognized Singaporean government or legal body for the market to resolve to Yes.
This market resolves to Yes if ENGIE officially announces and begins Bitcoin mining operations at its Assu Sol solar plant in Brazil by December 31, 2026. Official announcements or credible reports that confirm the commencement of mining activities at the site will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if EG Group successfully completes the sale of its French operations by December 31, 2026. The completion of the sale must be officially confirmed and publicly announced by the company through a press release or a credible news source.
This market resolves to Yes if Macquarie Asset Management and Gabia finalize their planned $410 million investment in the South Korean data centre platform by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from either company confirming the completion of the investment before the deadline.