Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if Google's new data center in Minnesota becomes fully operational by December 31, 2026. The data center must be officially announced as operational by Google or verified through a credible news source for this market to resolve to Yes.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate Banking Committee officially passes a new crypto regulatory framework bill by the end of 2026. The bill must specifically focus on overall market structure for crypto assets and must be documented as passed in official Senate records by December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if the ice shelf in front of West Antarctica's 'Doomsday Glacier' disintegrates by December 31, 2026. Confirmation must come from a credible source such as a scientific journal or a major news outlet reporting on the event.
This market resolves to Yes if BTS's comeback album 'ARIRANG' reaches platinum certification in South Korea, which is typically awarded for 250,000 units sold, by December 31, 2026. Certification data will be verified through the Korea Music Content Association (KMCA).
This market resolves to Yes if a method for designing carbon materials using AI at the exascale, as referenced in recent scientific developments, is implemented in a commercial product or process by December 31, 2026. Public announcements or credible reports will serve as verification for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple does not undergo significant layoffs or major workforce reductions in 2026, amidst AI-driven industry restructuring. Publicly available reports or official statements will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if IBM, INFQ, or QBTS publicly demonstrates a quantum computer that is deemed commercially relevant by December 31, 2026, as per Trump's executive orders aiming for such a technological achievement by 2028. The determination of 'commercially relevant' will be based on a consensus of leading tech media reports and expert opinions.
This market resolves to Yes if an official change or adjustment in US tariffs on imported goods is announced and implemented by the US government by December 31, 2026. This includes any formal announcement by a relevant government official or body specifying the change in tariff rates, the introduction of new tariffs, or the removal of existing tariffs. News reports alone without an official announcement do not count for resolution purposes.
This market resolves to Yes if Them, under the new ownership of Equalpride, reports or is verified by a reliable source to have surpassed 2 million monthly unique visitors by December 31, 2026. Verification can come from industry analytics reports, a public statement from Equalpride, or coverage by accredited media outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling by December 31, 2026, that upholds the legality of a federal ban on assault weapons. The decision must explicitly address a federal assault weapons ban in place and conclude that it is constitutional. If no such ruling is issued, or if the Court rules against the ban's constitutionality, the market resolves to No. Any related rulings must be publicly available and verifiable through official Supreme Court records.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Vladimir Putin officially announces his resignation or a formal transfer of presidential power before or on December 31, 2026. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements from the Kremlin or verifiable reporting from credible news sources such as Reuters, AP, or BBC. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to 'No.'
This market resolves to Yes if OpenAI officially releases a smart speaker device that includes a camera capable of recognizing objects and offering facial recognition by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from OpenAI or verifiable product listings will be used to confirm the release.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a formal ruling on the legal status of birthright citizenship in the United States by December 31, 2026. The ruling must be publicly documented by the Supreme Court of the United States.
This market resolves to Yes if Pepeto announces reaching or exceeding $20 million in presale capital by December 31, 2026. Confirmation should come from an official announcement by Pepeto or a credible financial news source.
This market resolves to Yes if the New York State legislature passes a law enabling non-citizens to vote in municipal elections across the state of New York by December 31, 2026. The resolution will be determined based on official legislative records or credible news reports confirming the passage of such a bill.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, credible new reports or official documents released include the mention of a U.S. tech executive not previously associated with Jeffrey Epstein. Coverage or disclosures should be from recognized news outlets or official document releases.
This market resolves to Yes if a formal charge against Jack Lang, France’s former Culture Minister, is filed in connection with the Epstein-linked tax fraud investigation by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on credible public records or official announcements confirming such charges.
This market resolves to Yes if Tesla officially announces a merger, acquisition, or any formal consolidation with SpaceX and xAI by December 31, 2026. The confirmation must come from an official press release or a regulatory filing by any of the involved companies. Partial or informal announcements will not qualify.
This market resolves to Yes if a new archaeological site that is over 4,000 years old is discovered on an island in Greenland that was not previously known for such sites. The discovery must be reported by a credible scientific publication or news outlet by December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if PayPal publicly announces that it has agreed to a formal takeover or acquisition deal with another company by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made on PayPal's official website, press release, or a major financial news outlet.
This market resolves to Yes if a new federal law specifically addressing climate change is signed into law by the President of the United States by the end of 2026. The law must explicitly target the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions or implement measures to combat climate change and cannot simply be an amendment to existing legislation. Reports from reputable sources such as the U.S. Congress or recognized news outlets will be used for verification.
This market resolves to Yes if Murphy USA is listed among the Top 3 convenience-store chains by store count in CSP's 2026 annual ranking. The outcome will be determined based on Roswell CSP Daily News's official report on the ranking, projected to be published by the end of 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if the US Senate successfully passes a bill that permits stablecoins to offer rewards by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official Senate records and public announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if the EPA publishes the final rule repealing the greenhouse gas endangerment finding in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026. The repeal must be officially completed and documented by this date for the market to resolve to Yes. Any announcements or draft rules will not be considered unless officially published.