Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces the completion of a merger with either SpaceX or xAI by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from Tesla or regulatory filings will be used to determine the resolution of this market.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle manages to raise a minimum of $45 billion in aggregate from debt and equity markets by December 31, 2026. Confirmation will be based on official financial statements or announcements from Oracle at the close of the fiscal year 2026. If Oracle announces that they have raised less than $45 billion by the end of 2026, the market will resolve to No. If no clear announcement is made by the closing date, and there is no verifiable third-party confirmation, the market will resolve to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Luigi Mangione is found guilty of at least one federal stalking charge related to the case involving the death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by the end of December 2026. Any official court verdict or plea that acknowledges guilt for stalking at the federal level will determine the resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if verifiable reports by a major news organization confirm that references, including mention or inclusion, to individuals within the Epstein Files exceed 10 million by December 31, 2026. 'References' must be clearly documented in the context of released file information, covering any individual discussed in news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if M EVO GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORP II announces an official merger or acquisition with a company primarily involved in the critical minerals sector by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be officially confirmed through a press release or a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
This market resolves to Yes if the draft law proposing restrictions on Steam and the Epic Games Store by the Ministry of Family and Social Services is officially enacted in Turkey by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from reliable news sources confirming the enactment.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle's NetSuite AI Connector Service reports a 20% or greater increase in the number of corporate clients by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by Oracle's official financial statements or press releases.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any prominent AI tool used for interpreting patient medical records becomes officially recognized as HIPAA-compliant. Verification will be based on public announcements from a recognized regulatory body or a statement from the tool developer confirming HIPAA compliance.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a publicly verified and commercially available AI-based chip is demonstrated to reduce energy consumption in data centers by 10% or more compared to conventional methods, as evidenced by reputable sources such as scientific journals, industry reports, or major news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if the finalized 2027 US defense budget, as enacted by Congress and signed into law by the President, includes $65.8 billion allocated specifically for shipbuilding. The resolution will be based on the official budget documentation released by the US government for the fiscal year 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if Megan Rapinoe makes a public statement supporting the International Olympic Committee's new policy intended to protect women's sports, prior to 31st December 2026. This includes any public statement in interviews, official publications, or on her verified social media accounts.
This market resolves to Yes if any major technology company (e.g., Google, Meta, or Oracle) officially announces a workforce reduction of over 5,000 employees directly attributed to increases in productivity from AI implementations by December 31, 2026. The announcement must explicitly mention AI-driven productivity as a primary reason for the layoffs.
This market resolves to Yes if MLG Oz publicly reports generating over A$30 million in annual revenue from its contracts with Gruyere Mining Company by December 31, 2026. Sources will include official financial statements, press releases, or credible business news reports.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the European Union has officially imposed profit caps or windfall taxes on energy companies, as proposed by some European finance ministers due to surging oil and gas prices driven by the ongoing conflict in Iran.
This market resolves to Yes if Insight Health has publicly announced the successful scaling of its clinical AI agents by the end of 2026. Evidence can include official press releases, company announcements, or credible news reports confirming the expansion and integration of these AI tools into healthcare systems as intended with their recent $11M funding raise.
This market resolves to Yes if new fossil evidence of complex life from the Ediacaran period (approximately 635 million to 539 million years ago) is reported by reputable scientific journals or institutions by December 31, 2026. The discovery should involve new sites or fossil findings indicating complex life forms existed during this time, not previously known or documented.
This market resolves to Yes if the Kansas City Chiefs officially announce the completion of the construction of their new stadium in Wyandotte County, Kansas by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be from an official source such as the Kansas City Chiefs' website or a major news outlet confirming the stadium's readiness for occupancy.
This market resolves to Yes if a judicial review is initiated by any party involved in the rival bid for the Telegraph against the UK government's decision to allow the Daily Mail owner to proceed with the takeover by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official court records or credible news reports confirming such a review has been filed.
This market resolves to Yes if the White House succeeds in implementing a policy or regulation that legally restricts institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes anywhere in the United States by December 31, 2026. Official confirmation of the policy enactment through legal or governmental channels is required for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the Jordanian Parliament maintains the removal of the word 'Israel' from their official parliamentary minutes until December 31, 2026. Any official reversal of this decision will result in a No resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if PayPal announces an acquisition by another company on or before December 31, 2026. An acquisition is defined as a public announcement that another company has agreed to acquire PayPal, either fully or as a controlling stake. Official announcements from PayPal or the acquiring company will serve as confirmation.
This market resolves to Yes if Crypto.com receives full and unconditional approval for a national trust bank charter from U.S. regulators by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Crypto.com or U.S. regulatory authorities.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Treasury Department formally assumes management of the federal student loan portfolio from the Education Department by December 31, 2026. This transition was announced as a three-phase operation by the Trump administration. Official announcements or legislative records will be used to confirm the outcome.