Markets

This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.

Climate tech funding prediction.

Will Apple release a folding iPhone in 2026?

Tech product launch prediction.

Pop culture prediction market.

Will 'KPop Demon Hunters' surpass 500 million views on Netflix by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if 'KPop Demon Hunters' achieves over 500 million views on the Netflix streaming platform by the end of December 31, 2026, as verified by official Netflix view count metrics or reliable industry reporting.

Will Bitcoin reach or exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange at any time before 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on data from Coinbase, Kraken, or Binance.

Will Bitcoin's price exceed $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) closes above $80,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange on December 31, 2026. The closing price will be determined based on the last recorded price on Coinbase or Binance at 23:59 UTC on that date.

This market resolves to Yes if the Gordie Howe International Bridge officially opens for public vehicle traffic by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from the relevant Canadian and U.S. authorities or media outlets will be used to determine the outcome.

This market resolves to Yes if Oscar Health's stock price is greater than $12 at market close on December 31, 2026. Oscar Health has been making significant strides in healthcare innovation despite financial losses, impacting its stock performance. This market evaluates the ability of Oscar Health to maintain its stock price amid ongoing challenges and opportunities in the healthcare sector.

Will Bitcoin's market capitalization exceed $1.5 trillion by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, according to CoinMarketCap or a comparable cryptocurrency market data provider, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin exceeds $1.5 trillion at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Market data will be verified by multiple reputable sources for accuracy.

This market resolves to Yes if NASA's PACE Satellite identifies a new substantial source of nitrogen dioxide pollution in a major city (population over 1 million) not currently recognized as a pollution hotspot, by December 31, 2026. The finding must be confirmed through NASA's official reports or a peer-reviewed scientific publication acknowledging PACE's data.

This market resolves to Yes if Mutuum Finance (MUTM) achieves its Phase 10 pricing tier by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official updates from Mutuum Finance and credible news sources detailing the advancement to Phase 10. Any confirmed achievement of this tier within the specified timeframe will result in a Yes resolution.

Will Google acquire a major AI and crypto-powered insurance broker by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Google, or its parent company Alphabet, announces the acquisition of a major AI and crypto-powered insurance brokerage firm by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026. An official press release or a credible news source must confirm the acquisition for the market to resolve to Yes.

Will Apple's MacBook Pro feature a two-stack tandem OLED display by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Apple officially releases a MacBook Pro model with a two-stack tandem OLED display before December 31, 2026. This confirmation must come directly from Apple through a press release, official product announcement, or detailed product specifications on Apple's official website.

This market resolves to Yes if HBO officially announces a new season of 'The Comeback' featuring Lisa Kudrow by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made through an official press release, HBO's website, or a verified social media account.

This market resolves to Yes if Oracle publicly announces a strategic partnership specifically centered around AI development or infrastructure with a tech firm based in a Middle Eastern country by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made through a credible and verifiable source such as Oracle's press release or a reputable news outlet.

This market resolves to Yes if the 'Harry Potter' series debut, premiering on HBO in December 2026, garners over 10 million viewers within the first week of its release according to official HBO viewership statistics.

Will Instagram stop referencing PG-13 ratings in posts by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Instagram completely stops using the PG-13 rating reference in its posts, as per their agreement with the Motion Picture Association, by December 31, 2026. The decision will be based on an official statement from Meta or confirmation from a reliable media source.

This market resolves to Yes if a publicly documented and verifiable prototype of a quantum compass utilizing phonon lasers, as described by researchers at the University of Rochester and Rochester Institute of Technology, is demonstrated by December 31, 2026. The demonstration must be covered by reputable science or technology news outlets, and details should be accessible to the public.

This market resolves to Yes if News Corporation publicly announces the completion of an acquisition of a major digital real estate company by December 31, 2026. A major digital real estate company is defined as one with annual revenues exceeding $200 million. The announcement must come from official News Corp communications, such as press releases or financial filings.

This market resolves to Yes if any tech executive not previously mentioned in well-known publications is publicly reported by a credible news source to have connections with Jeffrey Epstein by the end of December 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, Hub Group receives a regulatory fine due to the restatement of their financials for certain quarters of 2025. Evidence will be based on official announcements from regulatory bodies or Hub Group's public filings.

This market resolves to Yes if Somoy TV publicly announces the establishment of a dedicated Climate, Environment and Nature Desk before December 31, 2026. The announcement must be verifiable through official channels, such as a press release by Somoy TV, major news publications, or an official statement on Somoy TV's website.

This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) announces a full review of the Paramount-Warner Bros. merger involving Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds and Tencent investments by the end of 2026. The decision must be publicly reported by credible news sources.