Markets

This market resolves to Yes if there is an official announcement for the renewal of HBO's 'The Comeback' for a season 3 by October 31, 2026. The announcement must be from HBO or a verified source recognized by major entertainment news outlets.

This market resolves to Yes if the Trump administration officially announces a major policy reversal regarding federal hiring practices, such as reinstating the pre-2025 federal workforce levels, by October 2026. A major policy reversal is defined as a formal announcement covered by at least two major reputable news organizations where the administration commits to restoring or exceeding the federal staffing levels that were in place before the reductions under Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency allies.

This market resolves to Yes if the anime 'The World’s Strongest Witch' officially premieres by October 31, 2026. The premiere date will be confirmed through an official announcement from the anime's production company or a reputable media source.

This market resolves to Yes if Oracle has publicly announced the completion of its layoffs driven by AI efficiencies by October 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official Oracle press releases or credible news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if Blue Owl Capital reports Q3 2026 investor withdrawal requests exceeding 30% of its assets in its software and technology-focused private credit fund. Official confirmation must come from Blue Owl's Q3 2026 earnings report or a formal company statement. This question reflects ongoing concerns around investor confidence in the private credit sector.

This market resolves to Yes if any of the companies TCS, Infosys, HCLTech, Wipro, or Tech M announce an increase in their workforce (positive net hiring) during the second quarter of FY27. This will be determined based on official announcements or quarterly reports from the companies.

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement is made by any reputable media outlet or their official channels confirming that Bella Hadid, Harry Styles, and Jennifer Lawrence are collaborating on a podcast together by October 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if Oracle successfully completes its East Bank campus development in Nashville by October 31, 2026, as confirmed by a public announcement or media report. Recent news indicates Oracle's plans to continue with the project despite recent layoffs.

Will a mail-in voting restriction be blocked by U.S. courts by October 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any U.S. court issues a final ruling blocking the Trump administration's executive order aimed at cracking down on mail-in voting. The resolution will be based on official court announcements or trusted news sources confirming such a decision by October 31, 2026.

Will Celine Dion complete her 2026 Paris residency without canceling any shows?

This market resolves to Yes if Celine Dion completes her announced five-week residency in Paris in the fall of 2026 without canceling any of the scheduled concerts due to health issues or any other reasons.

Will Google's Smart Glasses be available to the public by November 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Google's new Smart Glasses, announced at Google I/O 2026, are officially available for purchase by the public by November 1, 2026. Validation will be based on a public announcement from Google or availability in major retail stores.

This market resolves to Yes if the Baltimore Ravens successfully trade for Maxx Crosby from the Las Vegas Raiders before the official 2026 NFL trade deadline. Trades and acquisitions must be publicly confirmed by both the Ravens and the Raiders, and recognized by the NFL by the close of the trade deadline.

This market resolves to Yes if Susan Collins wins the U.S. Senate seat representing Maine in the 2026 elections, as officially confirmed by the state of Maine. The market resolves to No if any other candidate is declared the winner or if she withdraws before the election.

This market resolves to Yes if Melissa Bean wins the general election for Illinois' 8th Congressional District in November 2026. The resolution will be based on the official election results published by the state of Illinois.

This market resolves to Yes if Donnie Freeman, who is currently sidelined with an Achilles injury, plays in at least one regular-season game for the St. John's Red Storm during the 2026-27 NCAA basketball season. The market will resolve based on official game logs and announcements from St. John's or the NCAA.

This market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party retains a majority in the U.S. Senate following the November 2026 elections, as publicly confirmed by at least two credible sources such as major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, CNN, or BBC).

This market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in the Wisconsin State Senate as a result of the 2026 election. Official election results will confirm the resolution.

Will Apple acquire a major AI lab in 2026?

Automated predictive market for Culture sector.

This market resolves to Yes if all companies referred to as the 'Magnificent Seven' (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) report earnings growth that outpaces the percentage growth of the S&P 500 index during their respective Q3 2026 earnings releases. The determination will rely on the reported earnings growth percentages (year-over-year) compared directly to the S&P 500 earnings growth percentage for Q3 2026, as published by financial sources such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or other widely trusted market data outlets by the close of the last Magnificent Seven company's earnings report release.

This market resolves to Yes if the University of Maryland Eastern Shore (UMES) women's volleyball team finishes in the top 3 positions at their 2026 conference tournament. The official final standings announced at the conclusion of the tournament will be used to determine the outcome. If the conference tournament does not occur for any reason, the market will resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.

Will Amazon acquire a major AI lab in 2026?

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

This market resolves to Yes if NICE (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence) approves funding for the new Alzheimer's treatment by November 30, 2026. The decision must be officially announced by NICE and reported in at least one major healthcare news outlet.

Will Google's AI project 'Gemini' surpass 75% market share in AI cloud services by December 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, Google's 'Gemini' AI project is reported to have achieved a market share of at least 75% in AI cloud services, as verified by an industry analyst report or reliable tech publication.