Markets

This market resolves to Yes if a significant public controversy involving a leading tech figure (like a CEO, prominent developer, or industry influencer) regarding AI occurs by July 15, 2026. The controversy must attract widespread media coverage and be directly related to AI uses or policies.

This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer publicly confirms that it has sold 100% of the Bitcoin it mines during the week ending on July 14, 2026. Confirmation must come from an official company statement, regulatory filing, or credible financial news outlet reporting on Bitdeer's activities.

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Congress passes the proposed $350 billion defense budget by July 15, 2026. The resolution will be based on the official congressional records confirming passage.

This market resolves to Yes if the film 'Michael' surpasses 'The Super Mario Galaxy Movie' in worldwide box office earnings and becomes the highest-grossing film of 2026 by July 15, 2026. Box office figures will be based on publicly available data from reputable sources such as Box Office Mojo or Deadline.

This market resolves to Yes if Issa Rae's TikTok micro-drama 'Screen Time' reaches or exceeds 200 million views on TikTok by July 15, 2026, according to publicly available data from TikTok or Hoorae Media.

This market resolves to Yes if a formal ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah is publicly announced and confirmed by any of the involved governments or a credible international organization by July 15, 2026. Any continued hostilities or absence of such an announcement will result in a No resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. House of Representatives passes a resolution by July 15, 2026, that explicitly opposes Trump's proposed 'anti-weaponization' fund for legal expenses incurred by those he believes were unjustly prosecuted.

This market resolves to Yes if Russia officially announces or demonstrates a significant military withdrawal from Ukraine as a result of international pressure by July 15, 2026. This includes official statements from the Russian government or verifiable military movements confirmed by reliable sources.

This market resolves to Yes if the United States Senate overrides President Trump's veto to end the authorization for the war in Iran by reaching a two-thirds majority vote by July 15, 2026. This resolution will be based on official Senate records or widely reported news from credible outlets. If no veto override occurs by that date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the 2026 Wimbledon tournament concludes without any significant controversies reported in major sports news outlets regarding the implementation of the new video review technology.

MLB - New York Mets (38-54) at Philadelphia Phillies (51-41) First Pitch: 2026-07-16T23:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:823440]

This market resolves to Yes if the preliminary report on the Missouri plane crash involving skydivers is publicly released by July 17, 2026, as reported by credible news agencies.

MLB - Los Angeles Dodgers (61-33) at New York Yankees (51-42) First Pitch: 2026-07-17T23:05:00.000Z [MLBGame:823524]

MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates (47-47) at Cleveland Guardians (48-46) First Pitch: 2026-07-17T23:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:824414]

MLB - Tampa Bay Rays (54-37) at Boston Red Sox (43-48) First Pitch: 2026-07-17T23:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:824737]

MLB - Chicago White Sox (47-45) at Toronto Blue Jays (44-49) First Pitch: 2026-07-17T23:15:00.000Z [MLBGame:822789]

MLB - Texas Rangers (46-46) at Atlanta Braves (54-38) First Pitch: 2026-07-17T23:15:00.000Z [MLBGame:824901]

MLB - Miami Marlins (51-42) at Milwaukee Brewers (58-34) First Pitch: 2026-07-17T23:40:00.000Z [MLBGame:823766]

MLB - Minnesota Twins (46-48) at Chicago Cubs (52-41) First Pitch: 2026-07-18T00:05:00.000Z [MLBGame:824655]

MLB - San Francisco Giants (38-54) at Seattle Mariners (47-46) First Pitch: 2026-07-18T02:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:823115]

This market resolves to Yes if Hasan Piker delivers a public speech at the 2026 Democratic National Convention. The resolution is based on official announcements from the convention, media coverage, or a recording of the speech. If no such speech takes place by the conclusion of the convention on its final scheduled day, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Kamaru Usman defeats Dricus Du Plessis during their middleweight bout at UFC Fight Night on July 18, 2026, in Oklahoma City. The result will be based on the official decision announced by the UFC after the fight.

This market resolves to Yes if George Russell wins the 2026 British Grand Prix held at Silverstone on July 19, 2026. The outcome will be determined based on the official race results published by Formula 1.