Will Russia's oil export revenues decrease by more than 20% in 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual inflation rate, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is above 2% for the majority of months in the fourth quarter of 2026 (October, November, December). The resolution will rely on official CPI reports released in early 2027 for the respective months.

This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Office for National Statistics indicates an inflation rate above 2.5% for any month between July and December 2026. Inflation rate is measured in terms of year-over-year percentage change. Official statistics on the UK government's website will be used for resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if the White House succeeds in implementing a policy or regulation that legally restricts institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes anywhere in the United States by December 31, 2026. Official confirmation of the policy enactment through legal or governmental channels is required for resolution.

Will the U.S. government ban institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. government officially enacts legislation banning institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes. News reports and official government announcements will be used to resolve this market.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, at least 10 major universities publicly announce and implement a new economics curriculum influenced by the Rethinking Economics movement, incorporating more pluralistic and ethically conscientious frameworks as described in recent articles. Confirmation will be based on verifiable announcements from the universities or media coverage.

This market resolves to Yes if any major university announces a new economics curriculum that explicitly emphasizes a pluralist approach, incorporating multiple economic theories, increased ethical considerations, historical perspectives, and applicability to real-world issues by December 31, 2026. Valid announcements must be reported by a reputable news source or official university communication.