Markets

Will there be a publicly announced ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by August 30, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine reported by at least two major international news outlets (e.g., AP News, BBC, Reuters). This includes any temporary or conditional ceasefire agreements covering all or part of the conflict area. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

Rules

  • Market closes at 8/30/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.