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Will the People's Bank of China issue $29 billion in special bonds to recapitalize insurers by December 31, 2026?

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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if the People's Bank of China (PBOC) issues special government bonds totaling $29 billion or more by December 31, 2026, specifically for the purpose of recapitalizing insurance companies, as reported by recognized financial news sources. The resolution will be based on announcements or confirmations from the PBOC or reputable financial news outlets such as Bloomberg or Reuters.

Rules

  • Market closes at 12/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.